Does Georgism work? Five years later

(astralcodexten.com)

81 points | by silveraxe93 1 day ago

9 comments

  • tptacek 32 minutes ago
    I’ve since learned that overly online keyboard warriors are the least important people to convince. The most important people are on your local city council or state legislature. Furthermore, instead of wasting time with hard cases or elected officials who are dead-set against your ideas, you’re much better off finding and working with people who are already interested in your principles. This often means giving up on your own city or state, at least for the time being, and pursuing a “succeed anywhere” strategy instead.

    We're about to have a board vote eliminating single-family zoning (I expect us to win) and this rings extremely true about local politics. If you count "votes" in Facebook comments --- Facebook is where all our local politics happen --- you'd think this is the most contentious issue in the world. But in our last mayoral election, you'd draw the same conclusion about the race being tight, and in fact the progressive rinsed the moderate by a huge margin.

    The same thing is very true of public meetings; the turnout for comment at those things is almost never representative of the area's median sentiment. "No" turns out for everything; "yes" rarely does.

    I spend a lot of time in online arguments with opponents, on the theory that I'm not really writing to the person I'm arguing with but rather to everyone quietly reading comments. But it's almost certainly the case that the only conversations that have really mattered have been with electeds themselves.

    • pj_mukh 21 minutes ago
      Which is maddening, given how much damage these existing policies are doing, and how many other zeitgeist issues (homelessness, affordability, robust economic growth etc) are downstream of this.

      I wonder if this movement needs a form of performative extremism somewhere (think bridges being forcibly closed for causes), so that then the mainstream notices the sensible compromise and pushes for it. The YIMBY's have never played Overton Window games, but maybe they need to hold their nose and play it.

  • skew-aberration 1 hour ago
    I think LVT does have a history in US, e.g Pittsburgh.

    Also Georgism is 100% LVT -> A land tax alone has been the recommendation of many economists before and after George - From Smith, Riccardo, Mill to Friedman. Across classical, neoclassical, Keynesian, Austrian schools. If there's one thing economists can agree on, it's that land tax is better than income tax.

    • jdjdndndbd 51 minutes ago
      Random thought, would be it be good to extend land tax to use of all common public goods. E.g. radio frequencies, mining, water, CO2 pollution. Things you own, licensed or consume that take from the common good. Obviously this need constant tweaking E.g. as new tech makes different things valuable.
      • skew-aberration 40 minutes ago
        Yes, it's been suggested that all scarce inputs to the economy should be taxed. And yes the idea of Georgism is to let market set the prices and tax based off of that.

        It does become complicated when the scarce inputs are things like highly specialized labor. Georgism wouldn't tax that monopoly, though our current systems (progressive income taxes) do. Many people would want a system which penalizes businesses for buying up e.g. all the veterinarians in a city and charging monopoly prices.

        • marcosdumay 37 minutes ago
          > Many people would want a system which penalizes businesses for buying up e.g. all the veterinarians in a city and charging monopoly prices.

          As powerful as taxes are to create change, you don't need to use them to solve every problem out there.

      • mcdonje 17 minutes ago
        Other replies supporting taxing externalities and scarce resources are correct, but it can be generalized as taxing undesirable behavior to disincentivize it.
      • nemomarx 40 minutes ago
        The good news is that as different things become valuable their value changes, I guess? So if radio frequency stops being useful, the LVT put on it also drops pretty hard.

        The bad news is now you have to assess the value of a lot more things in order to do this (the value of clean waterways in a certain state, the value of IP taken away from the common culture) that may not have a direct market value.

        • BobbyTables2 17 minutes ago
          How does one even put a direct financial value on clean water, clean air, lack of noise pollution, etc.?

          These things have different values to different people. While most everyone wants them in some form, there is a huge spectrum between “it won’t kill me this month” and “living in pristine Mt. Fuji”.

          Should private companies be allowed to pollute sparse remote areas with no population?

          Does it have a financial value if nobody goes there?

      • ro_sharp 40 minutes ago
        Yes, pricing negative externalities is a good idea. Unfortunately some are more or less expensive to price/enforce
    • wahern 36 minutes ago
      There was also a community in the deep south. And I once read a case study about a town that tried it in, IIRC, New Mexico.

      Full LVT never works. It always ends up shot through with exceptions and loopholes and, in the case study, inducing corruption. And it's all predictable, too, if you know anything about taxation policy and American political culture. For full LVT you'd need to start from a blank slate, not just from a legal perspective but from people's expectations about property ownership.

    • pampas 36 minutes ago
      The fact that economically right wing economists like Milton Friedman supported LVT is a great argument against landlord type labelling LVT as far-left and attempting to push the idea outside the Overton window. I think the only valid argument against is it is that a significant LVT would punish those who've worked for their wealth as they've already paid significant income tax. But there are plenty of ways to introduce it gradually. Other arguments boil down to vested interests when I dig into it.
    • moritzwarhier 40 minutes ago
      It's the tax with the most positive impact AFAIK, especially when the other taxes are removed or at least adjusted accordingly.

      But it probably is also a cooperation problem, thus we prefer a slow but accelerating apocalypse.

      All these graduates need some value from their education after all, and if we reduce doing actively harmful things like the current tax system, others will be superior to us by transforming resources more quickly into waste.

      Since the latter process is extremely profitable, and again, so many people have education in optimizing the resources->money->waste pipeline, it would be a luddite and anti-science thought to listen to the science and stop this.

      Apart from that, there's a very common and profitable way of getting yield from people's everyday life while also rewarding them: cars.

      Live somewhere, but everything you do requires a vehicle.

      You'll see so many beautiful places.

      But you also have to rant about the evil urban population that pays for your car, gas, roads, parking space and special subsidies.

      It would be unlivable out there in the wilderness without this totally natural subsidization.

    • mohamedkoubaa 27 minutes ago
      You can say that land tax might be better than income tax but it's hard to argue that both land tax and income tax is better than just income tax. This is the biggest reason why new tax modalities are considered unworkable.
      • skew-aberration 16 minutes ago
        I think land + income is better. It's what I have where I live, and I'd like to see the balance shifted more towards land.
        • mohamedkoubaa 6 minutes ago
          This presupposes a balancing, when in reality it only ever goes up, and when it goes down it leads to lapses in services where the bill comes due later, with interest
    • dyauspitr 36 minutes ago
      [flagged]
      • secabeen 33 minutes ago
        > You have to pay the government rent in perpetuity.

        You are paying the government rent in perpetuity for the services they provide, including enforcement of your property rights. If you wish to live on land without paying government rent, you will need to go to a place without effective government. Today, that would be Syria, parts of Sudan, or Mali as examples. I doubt you want to live in those places as a 1st world resident, but if you do, there's little stopping you.

      • Sharlin 30 minutes ago
        It’s exactly the correct idea. If the value of your land rises as a positive externality, it only makes sense that you contribute some of that back to the society that effected the rise in the first place.
        • bigstrat2003 8 minutes ago
          No it doesn't. You haven't realized any gains, therefore it's not just to tax you on that.
      • skew-aberration 18 minutes ago
        Where I live, the government owns about 40% of the value of my labour. I have to rent my own body in perpetuity. Meanwhile my second biggest expense is a mortgage I pay for land that nobody created.

        How much of the land value of your country do you currently own? A land value tax is likely to increase the amount of land you own (the profits of). I don't think US tracks land values as accurately as countries with some kind of land tax.

      • xboxnolifes 13 minutes ago
        The alternative is unbounded compounding of wealth until all land is held by very few hands.
      • pampas 25 minutes ago
        Not necessarily. It can be arranged so for owners with no income the tax accrues to the land and no cashflow is necessary until sale.
      • tarkin2 33 minutes ago
        Paying taxes in perpetuity is what pretty much everyone does.
  • bombcar 1 hour ago
    "Doing policymaker's work for them" is something like 80% of lobbying.

    If you have something you want done in your town, and you come with the work done AND not asking for funding, you're likely to get it.

    If you come with the work done and a PLAN for getting the funding, you also have a good chance of success.

    • john01dav 50 minutes ago
      Unfortunately, most of the political changes that I want to see go against some special interest. Examples include liberalizing professional licensing, reducing medical paternalism, and streamlining the litigation system. I can think of a zillion ways to do this, but every one of them cuts out some toll booth with concentrated benefits and diffuse costs, and our political system is not capable of dealing with such things in a reasonable way.

      I am very open to be told strategies to fight this more effectively without becoming a full time career activist for years on end for one issue at a time.

  • marcosdumay 13 minutes ago
    Eh... After finishing the article, did I miss the section where the author discuss if Georgism actually works?

    Did it actually increase the amount of housing? Reduce wealth disparity? Got enough taxes so cities can make commutes better?

  • throwitaway222 24 minutes ago
    I guess here's an issue. I bought 13 acres - mostly because I hate hearing basketballs bouncing, other people's TVs, and "boom cars".

    So if we're going to start taxing me at a million per year, can I start taxing those loud people a million a year so I can live in the city to pay for medical bills for my brain to go through the bouncing basketball.

    Mind you, everyone else in my area has 10 - 15 acres and it's just a dead area. Just people that ran away from the city. There's absolutely no "value" in this land as no one wants to even be here and drive 40 minutes to get to a grocery store.

    • loeg 21 minutes ago
      LVT is assessed on land value. Your 13 rural acres aren't insanely valuable and would not be assessed a million dollars a year under a Georgian model.
      • throwitaway222 20 minutes ago
        Ok, that makes sense to me then. I thought I was going to be taxed for unused land.
    • tomrod 21 minutes ago
      Then your land would likely be priced at the nominal amount per acre x 13 since the demand for that area is low and diffuse. Not a horrible outcome, and, could encourage you to make the land "productive" to at least cover the tax. Tree farms are lovely.
      • ivm 10 minutes ago
        What about conservation? On my land, after clearing a bit around the house for fire safety and "pest" prevention, I kept most of the native rainforest. I planted a few syntropic lines of fruit trees, but they cannot cover the land tax I already pay. All my gardening and land management at large is a money sink (unless we consider touching grass an investment).
    • techgnosis 22 minutes ago
      Isn't the idea that it's a land value tax, and not just a land tax. The land in your example is not particularly valuable. Unless I have misunderstood the idea.
  • tclancy 1 hour ago
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    • tclancy 1 hour ago
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      • sunshowers 45 minutes ago
        Perhaps I'm missing something, but I don't associate Rand with LVT.
        • delichon 31 minutes ago

            To the question, ‘Should the government have the power to tax?,’ I’d answer, ‘No, all taxation should be voluntary.’” — Q&A, 1969, in Ayn Rand Answers
          
          Yep, there's no way to reconcile that with Georgism.
      • GaryBluto 44 minutes ago
        What do you think the Internet is?
  • Gimpei 23 minutes ago
    The LVT seems to me to be a lot like a carbon tax: a wonderful technocratic idea that is politically untenable. LTV would be great for humanity, but very bad for present homeowners. Since homeowners are wealthy and thus more politically engaged on average, I just don’t see how this could ever get passed. Instead of starting with an impossible task, why not start instead with a merely incredibly unlikely task: repeal proposition 13.