The underlying idea is that AI capabilities will become so advanced that only AI will enable us to monitor/correct/understand behavior. Obviously this is not without issue and I don't want to try to defend their position right now. But that's what they mean
That first sentence of yours explains exactly why it is so ridiculous. If only AI can understand it, how is there any assurance that AI will "correct" it's behavior that is aligned with what humans presumably want.
But also what is the evidence that something only AI can understand even “matters” or makes sense? I’m increasingly convinced commercial AI is exploiting our logical blind spot to be spoken to authoritatively.
"Advanced" can just mean that agents perform actions at a high enough velocity that a human operator can't reasonably review it. i.e. what is already possible today.
> For example, if we ask a model for the probability P(A) and another instance of the same model for the probability P(A&B), do the reported probabilities satisfy P(A) ≥ P(A&B)?
So that's it? Are you saying they compressed risk reduction to high school level stats calculations and a greater than or equal to? To early for this
I don't remember any company in world's history that has both been loved and hated by the same users who purchase from it. We love Anthropic for its amazing models, and we hate them for all the shenanigans around the models, including their marketing.
I kinda wish they had not made a comeback after Claude 2.
I enjoy using the models. I also get that there are shenanigans and that marketing is happening, but as long as the models are this effective I can't much bring myself to care. I suspect most of their users are the same.
They have to be careful. There’s not a lot that separates the top models anymore. Look at Grok which has almost no market share or credibility because of Musk, Despite being close to the top performance wise they are behind the Chinese models in adoption for example, which themselves are mostly behind the big two because of trust. It would not be hard to push users away, especially if a less unpalatable player ever emerged.
Is a new benchmark that useful if existing model improvements are being reflected linearly? Don't we want a benchmark that we aren't seeing much progress in.
0/10
* The incentives of frontier AI labs are aligned with enabling AI takeover, not preventing it.
> A core hope for managing AI risks is that AIs will help us understand our situation
Gonna stop you right there and ask that you think deeply about that premise.
So that's it? Are you saying they compressed risk reduction to high school level stats calculations and a greater than or equal to? To early for this
I kinda wish they had not made a comeback after Claude 2.